So about 10 days or so ago I made a post predicting the remainder of the season for both the Red Sox and Yankees.
Periodically I will give little updates to this post, showing what actually happened alongside the data I used to say the Yankees would not finish within 4 games of the Sox for the AL East.
Red Sox: Over the last 3 series (ANA, BAL, TB), I had the Sox going 5-4. In actuality they went 4-5, 1 game lower than what I had.
Yankees: I’ll give this to the Yankees, they have been on fire. They put up a show against Cleveland and made my estimate look a tad silly. I maintain my original prediction though. I had the Yankees going (Tor, Cle, Bal) 5-4 as well. In actuality, they went 6-3, one game above what I predicted.
The net of these two brings my original prediction off by 2 games, however I believe that those two games will be made up based on my conservative estimates.
Also, I don’t think I have any regular readers yet, but if you do read this, I will be on a 2 week hiatus. My brother will be competing in the World Rock Climbing Championships, and those will take place in Quito, Ecuador. I will be in Ecuador from tomorrow, all the way until the 30th. I will resume posting then. Adios.
2 Comments
August 16, 2007 at 5:41 pm
Regarding the predicted 5-4, they could have easily have been 6-3 as well, given those two games with Baltimore in which Gagne collapsed. Or 7-2 with one more hit…hard to quibble with your prediction though. A lot of weird stuff happened along the way.
August 16, 2007 at 5:58 pm
Absolutely, easily could have been 7-2. We would be looking at an entirely different lead right now, 8 games people would be saying the Yankees are finished. Anyway, if you check out the original post, the intent of the “prediction” was not to predict exactly what each team will play. It was to predict a reasonable amout of wins (on the low end) for the Red Sox, and a reasonable amount of wins (on the high end) for the Yankees. I fully expect the Sox to play better than the estimate, and even if they don’t it provides a reasonable estimate on which I believe means that the Yankees can not realisticly catch the Red Sox.